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Israel’s Real Estate Market Is on the Verge of a Major Comeback
The opportunity window is narrowing – and those who act now may reap the biggest rewards.
1. Where We Stand – and What’s Coming Next
| Indicator | Before Oct 7, 2023 | After the War | What Lies Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing Prices (12 months) |
+11% during 2022–23 | +6.7% from Sept 2023 to Sept 2024 | Forecast: sharp rise in 2025 |
| Interest Rates | Peaked at 4.75% in mid-2023 | Stabilized around 4.5%–5% in 2024 | Expected rate cuts in 2025 |
| GDP Growth | 6.5% (2021), 2% (2023) | 3.4% growth in Q1 2025 | Strong recovery expected |
| Construction Investment | Dropped ~17% during war | +28% in multi-unit residential Q1/25 | Short supply driving price pressures |
👉 Despite a turbulent year, Israel’s real estate market is showing remarkable resilience – and signs of a powerful rebound.
Since May 2025, prices have resumed a moderate upward trend, and construction investment is picking up sharply.
2. The Driving Forces – Domestic & Global
📌 Microeconomic Momentum:
- Population Growth & Immigration: Over 500,000 returning residents, new immigrants,
and internal movers are generating significant housing demand. - Private Investors are Returning: In 2024, housing prices increased in
Haifa (+11%), Central Israel (+7.7%), and the North (+9.5%) – all during wartime.
📌 Macroeconomic Fundamentals:
- War Costs Were Real – But Temporary: While the war cost Israel an estimated
$55–67 billion, GDP growth of 3.4% in Q1 2025 shows the economy is regaining strength. - Construction Delays Fuel Demand: A ~17% drop in housing starts during the war led to undersupply –
but in Q1/2025, construction investment rebounded by 28%, and demand is still far ahead of supply.
3. Abraham Accords 2.0 – A New Regional Growth Engine
- Peace Brings Business: Israel–UAE trade hit $2.56 billion in 2022. In 2025,
despite regional tensions, dialogue with Saudi Arabia is reportedly underway,
with economic normalization on the horizon. - Real Estate as a Strategic Asset: Regional partnerships are already paving the way for
investment in infrastructure, residential development, and hospitality
particularly from Gulf-based funds looking for secure, high-growth assets.
🎯 Why Now is the Moment to Invest
- Land Prices Are Stabilizing – poised for a 6%-12% increase over the next 12 months.
- Supply is Limited – due to construction lags, and it will take years to catch up.
- Global Investors Are Back – foreign investors, returning Israelis, and affluent newcomers are already snapping up deals.
- Regional Capital is Coming – Gulf investors are entering the market quietly but aggressively.
💡 Bottom line: This is the final minute before the next big leap.
The war disrupted, but did not derail, Israel’s economic trajectory.
Today’s buyer is tomorrow’s winner – and the smart money is moving now.
📌 In the next article:
We’ll explore the rental and income-generating market, dive into land investments,
and spotlight strategic opportunities across Israel.
Don’t miss the window.
History shows that Israel rebounds stronger than ever – and this time, real estate will lead the way.